Willie Waffle’s Oscar Predictions! – Best Picture

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Photo Courtesy Fox Searchlight

It’s time to talk about the BIG ONE!  The movie that wins Best Picture goes down in history with films like Titanic, Schindler’s List, Gandhi and The Godfather.

You get to be in the same club as The Sound of Music, West Side Story, Casablanca and Gone With The Wind.

Sure, Michael Bay gets to revel in his millions, but the producers who win on Sunday night will forever be able to say they reached the pinnacle of success in their business, and the entire cast and crew will be able to put that on the resume for the rest of their careers.  It’s a moment of pride and accomplishment all of us would like to experience in our careers.

Don’t forget to check out NewsPlus with Mark Segraves this Sunday at 10 AM as Mark and I duel it out in an Oscar Predicting Battle with massive consequences!

And, the nominees are:

American Hustle

12 Years A Slave

Dallas Buyers Club



Captain Philips



The Wolf of Wall Street

About 75% of the time, the movie with the most nominations wins the Oscar for Best Picture.  This year, American Hustle and Gravity share the lead with 10 nominations each, and for very different categories.

Most of Gravity’s nominations are in technical categories, and the movie probably will sweep up in those categories because it was the biggest and best visual spectacle of the year.  I actually felt a bit nauseous  as I watched Gravity in 3D and had the sensation of floating in space with Sandra Bullock and George Clooney.  It was amazing.

American Hustle earned its nominations in the most high profile categories.  It has a chance to be the first movie since Silence of the Lambs to win Best Director, Best Picture, Best Actor and Best Actress, and was my favorite movie of the year.  I have seen it 3 times, and I still sit in awe at the whole sequence where the cast goes to the big party to impress “the investors” and each storyline intersects with the other.  That was the best film making I saw all year.

However, I think your winner on Oscar night will be 12 Years A Slave.  It was the winner of the British Academy Award, The Golden Globe and the Critics Choice Award, but, even more importantly, Fox Searchlight came up with a campaign theme that will prove irresistible to Oscar voters.  Billboards around Hollywood proclaiming, “It’s Time” will appeal to an Academy that wants to vote for a socially significant movie and a film that makes a statement.   That movie is 12 Years A Slave.

Waffle Prediction: 12 Years A Slave

And, please join me at The National Archives Tonight – Sunday to see all of the Oscar nominees for Best Documentary for FREE!!!!

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