Willie Waffle’s Oscar Predictions! – Best Actress

bluejasmineSONY

Photo Courtesy SONY Pictures Classics

Each day, I’ll give you a prediction or two, and you can watch the Oscars on Sunday night to mock me when I am wrong.  And, don’t forget to check out NewsPlus with Mark Segraves this Sunday at 10 AM as Mark and I duel it out in an Oscar Predicting Battle with massive consequences!

Today, Best Actress!

I can’t think of a year when so many accomplished actresses have competed against each other.  This is the closest we will ever get to a true compilation of Hollywood royalty in one category, but who will be declared The Queen of Hollywood?

The nominees:

Sandra Bullock (Gravity)

Meryl Streep (August Osage County)

Cate Blanchett – (Blue Jasmine)

Judi Dench (Philomena)

Amy Adams (American Hustle)

All of the ladies have multiple nominations to their credit:

Bullock has 1 win and 2 nominations.

Blanchett has 6 nominations and 1 win.

Adams has 5 nominations.  FIVE!!!!!!  Those have to be the quietest 5 nominations in the history of anything.

Dench  has 7 nominations and 1 win.

And, Meryl Streep has been nominated more times than any actor or actress with 18 nominations, and she could tie Katherine Hepburn with most wins by an actor or actress with 4 if she pulls off the upset on Sunday, but she won’t.

Cate Blanchett will be the one who wins.

This entire campaign season has been a coronation ceremony for Blanchett as she has won the Critic’s Choice (where she got my vote), Golden Globes, Screen Actors Guild and British Academy Awards (BAFTA) for her portrayal of a woman whose life has fallen apart due to a Bernie Madoff-like scandal that sent her husband to jail and her off to poverty and possible homelessness.  Pay attention to the BAFTA Award, because about 1/6th of their voters also are Oscar voters.

Yes, Blanchett does have to worry about the re-emerging Woody Allen Scandal affecting her chances.  However,  Blanchett deftly handled it once and has avoided further scrutiny since, even as she won that BAFTA and had to face a much harsher and daring British press.  Plus, I think that scandal has much more to do with Woody Allen’s future and will probably make it harder for him to line up big time stars for his next few movies.

Waffle Prediction: Cate Blanchett (Blue Jasmine)

And, please join me at The National Archives Wednesday – Sunday to see all of the Oscar nominees for Best Documentary for FREE!!!!

Check out my prediction for Best Actor!

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